First Major Severe Weather Outbreak of 2011 Possible Thursday!

System drawing moisture from the Gulf

It appears probable that a fairly significant severe weather outbreak is taking shape for Wednesday night into Thursday. A low pressure system will move through the Southern Plains into Dixie Alley Wednesday night into Thursday afternoon and evening. It appears an early round of thunderstorms across W Oklahoma could will develop Wednesday night, and move across the state through morning. This first round of storms main threat will be large hail and possibly damaging winds. Thursday afternoon, storms are expected to form ahead of a dryline bulge and along a warm front across E Oklahoma. Along with large hail and damaging winds, isolated tornadoes will be possible with these storms. At the moment, it appears the greatest threat for severe weather will begin in Central Oklahoma and move across the state into Arkansas. The severe weather threat could continue eastward overnight, although instability will be limited, so the main threat will probably be damaging winds. Stay tuned for further information regarding this event.

Day 3 Convective Outlook Valid Thursday, 2/24